Bucknell
W-L: (10-23) PR = 93.7677Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Delaware CUSA (10-21, 94.6) 78-70 1107 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-17, 94.5) 73-62 1111 H Princeton IVY ( 9-19, 94.5) 63-73 1114 H Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 77-83 1117 H Pittsburgh ACC (13-20, 96.4) 50-84 1120 H St. John's BE (30- 7, 98.7) 49-97 1124 H Bowling Grn MA (17-15, 95.5) 66-71 1126 H Buffalo MA (17-14, 95.4) 71-73 1130 H Cornell IVY (14-14, 95.1) 72-** 1203 H Akron MA (29- 6, 96.9) 77-97 1206 H UMBC AE (24- 9, 94.9) 66-73 1209 A Rider MAAC ( 4-25, 93.2) 51-38 1220 H Iowa B10 (24-13, 97.9) 39-94 1231 H Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 58-65 103 A Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 72-65 107 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 55-76 110 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 70-67 114 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 76-69 117 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 76-95 121 H Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 84-87 124 H Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 62-67 128 H Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 79-81 131 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) **-** 204 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 60-59 207 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 59-78 209 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 60-76 214 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 69-82 218 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 57-75 222 H Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 63-72 225 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 75-73 228 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 79-89 303 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 65-55 305 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 69-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Delaware 78-70 8 -1 + 2.89
1107 A Mt St Marys 73-62 11 -1 + 2.79
1111 H Princeton 63-73 -10 -1 -1.30
1114 H Hofstra 77-83 -6 -2 0.00
1117 H Pittsburgh 50-84 -34 -3 0.00
1120 H St. John's 49-97 -48 -5 0.00
1124 H Bowling Grn 66-71 -5 -2 -0.32
1126 H Buffalo 71-73 -2 -2 -0.43
1130 H Cornell 72-** -29 -1 -0.66
1203 H Akron 77-97 -20 -3 0.00
1206 H UMBC 66-73 -7 -1 -0.88
1209 A Rider 51-38 13 1 1.42
1220 H Iowa 39-94 -55 -4 0.00
1231 H Holy Cross 58-65 -7 0 - -2.15
103 A Lehigh 72-65 7 -1 + 2.62
107 H Navy 55-76 -21 -2 -0.33
110 A Loyola-MD 70-67 3 0 1.94
114 A Lafayette 76-69 7 0 + 2.03
117 H Colgate 76-95 -19 -1 -1.08
121 H Army 84-87 -3 0 - -2.23
124 H Loyola-MD 62-67 -5 0 - -2.08
128 H Lafayette 79-81 -2 0 -1.99
131 A Boston Univ **-** 155 -1 + 2.53
204 A American 60-59 1 -1 1.72
207 H Colgate 59-78 -19 -1 -1.08
209 H Navy 60-76 -16 -2 -0.33
214 H Boston Univ 69-82 -13 -1 -1.49
218 H American 57-75 -18 -1 -1.30
222 H Holy Cross 63-72 -9 0 - -2.15
225 A Army 75-73 2 0 1.79
228 H Lehigh 79-89 -10 -1 -1.40
303 A Army 65-55 10 0 1.79
305 H Navy 69-74 -5 -2 -0.33
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 H Holy Cross 58-65 -7 0 - -2.15 121 H Army 84-87 -3 0 - -2.23 124 H Loyola-MD 62-67 -5 0 - -2.08 222 H Holy Cross 63-72 -9 0 - -2.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 A Delaware 78-70 8 -1 + 2.89 1107 A Mt St Marys 73-62 11 -1 + 2.79 103 A Lehigh 72-65 7 -1 + 2.62 114 A Lafayette 76-69 7 0 + 2.03 131 A Boston Univ **-** 155 -1 + 2.53 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Delaware (10-21, 94.6) 78-70 -5.25 2.22 0.01 1.00 4.47
3 A Mt St Marys (14-17, 94.5) 73-62 -5.35 2.12 0.01 1.00 4.27
3 H Princeton ( 9-19, 94.5) 63-73 -5.43 2.05 -0.01 1.00 -2.72
3 H Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 77-83 -3.78 3.70 -0.01 1.00 -1.90
3 H Pittsburgh (13-20, 96.4) 50-84 -3.52 3.96 -0.01 1.00 -1.76
3 H St. John's (30- 7, 98.7) 49-97 -1.20 6.27 -0.01 1.00 -0.61
3 H Bowling Grn (17-15, 95.5) 66-71 -4.44 3.03 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
3 H Buffalo (17-14, 95.4) 71-73 -4.55 2.93 -0.01 1.00 -2.28
3 H Cornell (14-14, 95.1) 72-** -4.78 2.70 -0.01 1.00 -2.40
3 H Akron (29- 6, 96.9) 77-97 -3.03 4.45 -0.01 1.00 -1.52
3 H UMBC (24- 9, 94.9) 66-73 -5.00 2.47 -0.01 1.00 -2.51
3 A Rider ( 4-25, 93.2) 51-38 -6.73 1.00 0.01 1.00 2.02
3 H Iowa (24-13, 97.9) 39-94 -2.00 5.48 -0.01 1.00 -1.01
3 H Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 58-65 -6.28 1.20 -0.01 1.00 -3.14
3 A Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 72-65 -5.52 1.96 0.01 1.00 3.94
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 55-76 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 70-67 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.00 2.57
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 76-69 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.00 2.75
3 H Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 76-95 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.00 -2.60
3 H Army (11-21, 93.5) 84-87 -6.35 1.12 -0.01 1.00 -3.18
3 H Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 62-67 -6.20 1.28 -0.01 1.00 -3.11
3 H Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 79-81 -6.11 1.36 -0.01 1.00 -3.06
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) **-** -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.00 3.76
3 A American (16-17, 94.5) 60-59 -5.42 2.06 0.01 1.00 4.13
3 H Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 59-78 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.00 -2.60
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 60-76 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 69-82 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.00 -2.81
3 H American (16-17, 94.5) 57-75 -5.42 2.06 -0.01 1.00 -2.72
3 H Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 63-72 -6.28 1.20 -0.01 1.00 -3.14
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 75-73 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.00 2.27
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 79-89 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.00 -2.76
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 65-55 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.00 2.27
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 69-74 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.00 -2.23
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-22.31
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winning pts = 32.4483 losing points = -54.7628
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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